Independent corporate finance analysis for investors navigating complex investment decisions across African markets.
Our approach combines over 20 years of African market experience with advanced expertise in international corporate finance and risk analysis.
There is no single methodology suitable for every investment. We determine the analytical approach according to the characteristics of the business, the transaction and the investor's objectives, developing tailored analytical models to analyse factors that influence business value and support investment decisions.
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When do investors engage us?
Cross-border structure reviews for investing in Africa
We leverage years of valuation and offshore finance experience across multi-layered structures and multiple jurisdictions. We maintain an impartial stance when analysing the true benefits of offshore jurisdictions based on investor profiles and underlying investments. We analyse the legal and structural flaws of offshore jurisdictions independently and objectively, ensuring your capital structure serves your investment objectives and risk appetite.
Corporate finance analysis for investing across Africa.
Acquisition/Pre-Investment decisions
We are frequently solicited by investors prior to capital allocation when valuation reports rely heavily on assumptions that may not fully capture the underlying investment risks. Financial performance alone does not always explain cash generation, value creation through synergies, FX exposure, governance, ESG and geopolitical risks, or constraints around capital flows.
Distressed investments
We intervene in private-market distressed and special situations across Africa where reported financials are often the least reliable indicator of operational capacity.
Distressed investing here requires a different analytical framework from developed markets, whether the business is being evaluated for acquisition
or held as an existing position.
Limited comparable transactions, fragmented information, and inconsistent reporting mean value cannot be assessed through standard benchmarks alone.
We build our findings on true operational capacity, revenue generation drivers, downside scenarios and recovery potential to determine whether enterprise value can be protected against further erosion or enhanced through restructuring, recapitalisation, or operational turnaround.
Our analysis gives investors a clear view of what the business is actually worth, what it would take to stabilise and grow it, and the conditions that determine whether the opportunity is worth considering, pursuing or supporting with additional capital.
Ownership structures can materially alter the economics, control and potential outcome of an investment
Ownership rights and value protection
Share ownership alone does not define an investor's ability to influence outcomes or protect value. We analyse whether the rights and protections attached to an investment position adequately address dilution risks, transfer restrictions, minority protections, future funding decisions, contractual enforceability and exit mechanisms.
Debt sustainability under African market conditions
For cross-border African investments, the measure of debt capacity is not the cash generated by the investment, but the cash that can reach the entity responsible for servicing the debt. An offshore borrower may appear adequately covered on consolidated projections while remaining dependent on distributions from African operating businesses exposed to currency convertibility, exchange controls, refinancing constraints and competing claims on cash.
We measure debt service coverage where cash is actually available within the investment structure. Our models trace cash from the underlying operations through each entity, currency and distribution layer to determine the amount and timing available to meet interest and principal payments.
We use stochastic modelling to adequately capture risks that interact over the life of the investment by simulating correlated movements in operating performance, exchange rates, interest rates, inflation pass-through and delays in upstreaming cash.
We produce forward distributions of DSCR at payment dates, probability and duration of coverage shortfalls, expected liquidity requirements, refinancing exposure and recovery values across capital structures.
We stress-test alternative debt amounts, currencies, maturities, amortisation profiles and hedging strategies to determine how each scenario affects equity returns and downside exposure before capital is committed.